Investment Decisions and Policy Analysis

This project will inform investment decisions and policy development by integrating economic modelling – designed for decision making under uncertainty – into the biomass energy supply chains.


A major impediment to the growth of the bioenergy sector is the current uncertainty with respect to the reliable supply large quantities of feedstocks to feed processing facilities of sufficient scale. Reducing this uncertainty would help inform future bioenergy policies and private investment decisions.


The overall goal of this research is to construct three types of models: (i) feedstock supply models, (ii) product options models, and (iii) supply chain models. These models will estimate the amount, location, and costs of cellulosic bioenergy feedstocks available over time, which are sensitive to changes in market prices and yield variability. The information will be valuable to bioenergy producers considering new investments, as well as to policy makers interested in attracting such investments

Are Jet Fuel and Diesel Prices Vulnerable to Crude Oil Markets? Implications for Emerging Energy Sources

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Are Jet Fuel and Diesel Prices Vulnerable to Crude Oil Markets? Implications for Emerging Energy Sources

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Bioenergy Feedstock Supply from Wheat Straw: A Farm Level Model with Multiple Markets, Disease Risks and Soil Trade-offs

Grant K Hauer, Curtis John McKnight

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Facility siting for a forest residue-based biorefinery considering annual variability in commercial timber harvests in Alberta, Canada

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anthony Anderson, Irene Onyango, Glen Armstrong

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

MODELING VARIABILITY IN BIOMASS FEEDSTOCK SUPPLIES WITH LIMITED DATA: AN APPLICATION OF TIME SERIES CLUSTERING

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Grant K Hauer, Wanjing (Amy) Xu

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Price Relationships for Ethanol Production in Canada

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Curtis John McKnight

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Wheat Straw Supply for Ethanol Production in Canada

Marty K Luckert, Jay Anthony Anderson, Grant K Hauer, Curtis John McKnight

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

A Wheat Straw Feedstock Supply Response Model for Ethanol Production in Canada

Grant K Hauer, Curtis John McKnight

Peer-Reviewed Journal Article

A spatiotemporal analysis of forestry residues for west-central Alberta

Jay Anthony Anderson, Glen Armstrong

Peer-Reviewed Journal Article

All on Board, Biojet Fuel is Taking off (Or Not): Analyzing Financial Uncertainty for Biojet in North America

Muhammad Shah

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Are Jet Fuel and Diesel Markets Vulnerable to Crude Oil Price Shocks? Implications for Emerging Energy Sources

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Are Jet Fuel and Diesel Prices Vulnerable to Crude Oil Markets? Implications for Emerging Energy Sources

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Are Jet Fuel and Diesel Prices Vulnerable to Crude Oil Markets? Implications for Emerging Energy Sources

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Are Jet Fuel and Diesel Prices Vulnerable to Crude Oil Markets? Implications for Emerging Energy Sources

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Are Jet Fuel and Diesel Prices Vulnerable to Crude Oil Markets? Implications for Emerging Energy Sources

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Asymmetric Price Transmission and Impulse Responses Between Crude Oil, Jet Fuel, and Diesel

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu

Peer-Reviewed Journal Article

Bioenergy Feedstock Supply from Wheat Straw: A Farm Level Model with Multiple Markets, Disease Risks and Soil Trade-offs

Grant K Hauer, Curtis John McKnight

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Bioenergy Feedstock Supply from Wheat Straw: A Farm Level Model | Energy In A Flash

Curtis John McKnight

Research-Specific Short Film

Bioenergy feedstock supply from wheat straw: A farm level model incorporating trade‐offs in crop choices, disease risk, and soil fertility

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Grant K Hauer, Curtis John McKnight

Peer-Reviewed Journal Article

Biofuel Feedstock Supply from Wheat Straw: A Farm Level Model Incorporating Trade-offs in Crop Choices, Disease Risk and Soil Fertility

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Grant K Hauer, Curtis John McKnight

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Biofuel Opportunities for the Canadian Prairies and Alberta

Feng Qiu

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Biofuel Opportunity: Assessing the potential of biofuels based on crop residues in Canada

Feng Qiu

Other Event

Biojet economics

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anthony Anderson

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Breaking Down Feedstock Supply

Marty K Luckert

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Can energy crops compete with agriculture? A real options approach to landowner returns

Marty K Luckert, Grant K Hauer, Claire Doll

Peer-Reviewed Journal Article

Can energy crops compete with traditional agriculture? A real options approach to landowner returns

Marty K Luckert, Grant K Hauer, Claire Doll

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Can energy crops compete with traditional agriculture? A real options approach to landowner returns

Marty K Luckert, Grant K Hauer, Claire Doll

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Canadian Forest Policy: Where to from here?

Marty K Luckert

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Co-movement of Prices Between Biofuel Co-products in Canada: Ethanol, Electricity, and Pellets

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Grant K Hauer, Claire Doll

Peer-Reviewed Journal Article

Cultivating a Greener Future: Sustainable Agriculture and Biofuel.

Feng Qiu

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Economic Aspects of Biojet

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu

Other Event

Economic Aspects of Biojet

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu

Other Event

Economic Opportunities and Challenges in Biojet Production: A Literature Review and Analysis

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu

Peer-Reviewed Journal Article

Economic Opportunities and Challenges in Biojet Production: A Literature Review and Analysis

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Economic and Policy Considerations for Biomass Energy

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Economic and Policy Considerations for Biomass Energy

Marty K Luckert

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Economic prospects for forest biofuels

Marty K Luckert

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Economics of Biojet Production: A Project Report

Marty K Luckert

Other Event

Economics of biojet

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anthony Anderson

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Establishing hybrid poplar plantations in western Canada for biofuel feedstock and carbon offsets: A forest-level financial analysis

Marty K Luckert, Jay Anthony Anderson, Glen Armstrong

Peer-Reviewed Journal Article

Establishing hybrid poplar plantations in western Canada for biofuel feedstock and carbon offsets: A forest-level financial analysis

Marty K Luckert, Jay Anthony Anderson, Glen Armstrong

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Facility siting for a forest residue-based biorefinery considering variation of commercial timber harvests

Irene Onyango

Master Thesis

Facility siting for a forest residue-based biorefinery considering variation of commercial timber harvests

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anthony Anderson, Irene Onyango, Glen Armstrong

Peer-Reviewed Journal Article

Financial implications of carbon credits for forest plantations in Canada

Marty K Luckert, Jay Anthony Anderson, Glen Armstrong

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Financial implications of carbon credits for forest plantations in Canada

Marty K Luckert, Jay Anthony Anderson, Glen Armstrong

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Forestry footprints associated with providing harvesting residues for a lignocellulosic biorefinery in Alberta

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anthony Anderson, Grant K Hauer, Irene Onyango

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Future Prices for a Second-Generation Biofuel Industry: Market Linkages Between Canadian Wheat and US Energy and Agricultural Commodities

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anthony Anderson, Grant K Hauer, Curtis John McKnight

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Getting Biojet Off The Ground

Research-Specific Short Film

Growing hybrid poplar in western Canada for use as a biofuel feedstock: A financial analysis of coppice and single-stem management

Marty K Luckert, Jay Anthony Anderson, Glen Armstrong

Peer-Reviewed Journal Article

Impacts of ethanol supplies on the gasoline market

Marty K Luckert

Interview (Broadcast or Text)

Integrating stochastic agricultural residue supplies into biorefinery site selection: An Alberta case study

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Grant K Hauer

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Investment Decisions and Policy Analysis

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anthony Anderson, Grant K Hauer, Scott Wilson, Claire Doll, Irene Onyango, Curtis John McKnight

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Investment Decisions and Policy Analysis of Biomass Energy

Feng Qiu, Jay Anthony Anderson, Grant K Hauer

Other Event

Investment decisions and policy analysis

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anthony Anderson, Grant K Hauer, Scott Wilson, Claire Doll

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Lower-grade canola oil for biofuel: production capacity and potential impacts on food supply and price.

Feng Qiu

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Modeling Variability in Biomass Feedstock Supplies with Limited Data: An Application of Data Clustering

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Grant K Hauer, Wanjing (Amy) Xu

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Modeling Variability in Biomass Feedstock Supplies with Limited Data: An Application of Data Clustering

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Grant K Hauer, Wanjing (Amy) Xu

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Modeling Variability in Biomass Feedstock Supplies with Limited Data: An Application of Data Clustering

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Grant K Hauer, Wanjing (Amy) Xu

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Modelling Variability in Biomass Feedstock Supplies with Limited Data: An Application of Hierarchical Data Clustering

Wanjing (Amy) Xu

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Modelling Variability in Biomass Feedstock Supplies with Limited High-Dimensional Data: An Application of Hierarchical Data Clustering

Wanjing (Amy) Xu

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Potential Development of a Second-Generation Ethanol Industry in Alberta: Product Prices, Land Use Change, and Co-production Opportunities

Claire Doll

Master Thesis

Potential Ethanol Biorefinery Sites in Alberta Based on Agricultural Residues

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Grant K Hauer, Claire Doll, Yanan Zheng

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Potential Supplies of Fuel‐Grade Canola Oil for Low‐Carbon Fuel Production in Alberta, Canada: GIS Analysis Using an Improved Service‐Area Approach

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anthony Anderson

Peer-Reviewed Journal Article

Potential biorefinery sites based on agricultural residues in Alberta: A GIS-based approach with feedstock variability

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anthony Anderson, Grant K Hauer, Claire Doll, Yanan Zheng

Peer-Reviewed Journal Article

Potential biorefinery sites based on agricultural residues in Alberta: A GIS-based approach with feedstock variability

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anthony Anderson, Grant K Hauer, Claire Doll, Yanan Zheng

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Price Considerations for a Second-Generation Biofuel Industry in Canada

Curtis John McKnight

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Price Relationships and Feedstock Supply for a Second-Generation Ethanol Industry in Canada

Curtis John McKnight

Master Thesis

Price Transmission in Petroleum Markets and Potential Feedstock Supply for Low-carbon Fuel Production: Implications for Emerging Energy Sources

Master Thesis

Prices for a second‐generation biofuel industry in Canada: Market linkages between Canadian wheat and US energy and agricultural commodities

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Grant K Hauer, Curtis John McKnight

Peer-Reviewed Journal Article

Prospects for second-generation ethanol in Canada

Marty K Luckert

Peer-Reviewed Journal Article

Stochastic Assessment of Financial Viability of Biojet in North America

Muhammad Shah

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Supplies of Fuel-Grade Canola Oil for Low-Carbon Fuel Production: A GIS-Based Economic Analysis in Alberta

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anthony Anderson

Other Event

The Potential of Low Grade Canola Feedstock for Biojet Refineries in Alberta: A GIS-Based Analysis

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anthony Anderson

Other Event

The Potential of Low Grade Canola Feedstock for Biojet Refineries in Alberta: A GIS-Based Analysis

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anthony Anderson

Other Event

The Potential of Low Grade Canola Feedstock for Biojet Refineries in Alberta: A GIS-Based Analysis

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anthony Anderson

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

The Resilience of Biofuel Supply: Feedstock Availability, Financial Viability, and Market Competition

Feng Qiu

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

The development of advanced biofuels: potential impacts on land use and ecosystems

Feng Qiu

Other Event

The price of plant-based air travel: A review of biojet financial analyses

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu

Peer-Reviewed Journal Article

Thought for Fuel: Planning Canada's Biofuel Roadmap

Feng Qiu

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Unleasing Canada’s Biomass Energy Potential

Amit Kumar, David C. Bressler, Marty K Luckert

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Variability of Biofuel Feedstock from Agricultural Residues in Alberta

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anthony Anderson, Grant K Hauer, Yu Feng

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution

Volatility Transmission Effects Between Canadian Wheat and US Energy and Agricultural Commodities

Marty K Luckert, Feng Qiu, Grant K Hauer, Curtis John McKnight

Peer-Reviewed Journal Article

What ethanol prices would induce growers to switch from agriculture to poplar in Alberta?: A multiple options approach

Marty K Luckert, Grant K Hauer

Peer-Reviewed Journal Article

Your Energy Technology in the Real World: Methods for assessing the economic and system-wide impacts of energy transition

Marty K Luckert

Conference/Symposium/Workshop Contribution