Investment Decisions and Policy Analysis

This project will inform investment decisions and policy development by integrating economic modelling – designed for decision making under uncertainty – into the biomass energy supply chains.


A major impediment to the growth of the bioenergy sector is the current uncertainty with respect to the reliable supply large quantities of feedstocks to feed processing facilities of sufficient scale. Reducing this uncertainty would help inform future bioenergy policies and private investment decisions.


The overall goal of this research is to construct three types of models: (i) feedstock supply models, (ii) product options models, and (iii) supply chain models. These models will estimate the amount, location, and costs of cellulosic bioenergy feedstocks available over time, which are sensitive to changes in market prices and yield variability. The information will be valuable to bioenergy producers considering new investments, as well as to policy makers interested in attracting such investments

Are Jet Fuel and Diesel Prices Vulnerable to Crude Oil Markets? Implications for Emerging Energy Sources

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu

Conference/Workshop

Are Jet Fuel and Diesel Prices Vulnerable to Crude Oil Markets? Implications for Emerging Energy Sources

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu

Conference/Workshop

Bioenergy Feedstock Supply from Wheat Straw: A Farm Level Model with Multiple Markets, Disease Risks and Soil Trade-offs

Grant Hauer, Curtis McKnight

Conference/Workshop

Facility siting for a forest residue-based biorefinery considering annual variability in commercial timber harvests in Alberta, Canada

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anderson, Irene Onyango, Glen Armstrong

Conference/Workshop

MODELING VARIABILITY IN BIOMASS FEEDSTOCK SUPPLIES WITH LIMITED DATA: AN APPLICATION OF TIME SERIES CLUSTERING

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu, Grant Hauer, Wanjing (Amy) Xu

Conference/Workshop

Price Relationships for Ethanol Production in Canada

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu, Curtis McKnight

Conference/Workshop

Wheat Straw Supply for Ethanol Production in Canada

Marty Luckert, Jay Anderson, Grant Hauer, Curtis McKnight

Conference/Workshop

Are Jet Fuel and Diesel Markets Vulnerable to Crude Oil Price Shocks? Implications for Emerging Energy Sources

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu

Conference/Workshop

Are Jet Fuel and Diesel Prices Vulnerable to Crude Oil Markets? Implications for Emerging Energy Sources

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu

Conference/Workshop

Are Jet Fuel and Diesel Prices Vulnerable to Crude Oil Markets? Implications for Emerging Energy Sources

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu

Conference/Workshop

Are Jet Fuel and Diesel Prices Vulnerable to Crude Oil Markets? Implications for Emerging Energy Sources

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu

Conference/Workshop

Are Jet Fuel and Diesel Prices Vulnerable to Crude Oil Markets? Implications for Emerging Energy Sources

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu

Conference/Workshop

Bioenergy Feedstock Supply from Wheat Straw: A Farm Level Model with Multiple Markets, Disease Risks and Soil Trade-offs

Grant Hauer, Curtis McKnight

Conference/Workshop

Biofuel Opportunity: Assessing the potential of biofuels based on crop residues in Canada

Feng Qiu

Event

Can energy crops compete with traditional agriculture? A real options approach to landowner returns

Marty Luckert, Grant Hauer, Claire Doll

Event

Can energy crops compete with traditional agriculture? A real options approach to landowner returns

Marty Luckert, Grant Hauer, Claire Doll

Conference/Workshop

Economic Aspects of Biojet

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu

Event

Economic Aspects of Biojet

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu

Event

Economic and Policy Considerations for Biomass Energy

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu

Conference/Workshop

Economic and Policy Considerations for Biomass Energy

Marty Luckert

Conference/Workshop

Economic prospects for forest biofuels

Marty Luckert

Conference/Workshop

Economics of Biojet Production: A Project Report

Marty Luckert

Event

Establishing hybrid poplar plantations in western Canada for biofuel feedstock and carbon offsets: A forest-level financial analysis

Marty Luckert, Jay Anderson, Glen Armstrong

Conference/Workshop

Forestry footprints associated with providing harvesting residues for a lignocellulosic biorefinery in Alberta

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anderson, Grant Hauer, Irene Onyango

Conference/Workshop

Future Prices for a Second-Generation Biofuel Industry: Market Linkages Between Canadian Wheat and US Energy and Agricultural Commodities

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anderson, Grant Hauer, Curtis McKnight

Conference/Workshop

Integrating stochastic agricultural residue supplies into biorefinery site selection: An Alberta case study

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu, Grant Hauer

Conference/Workshop

Investment decisions and policy analysis

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anderson, Grant Hauer, Scott Wilson, Claire Doll

Event

Modeling Variability in Biomass Feedstock Supplies with Limited Data: An Application of Data Clustering

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu, Grant Hauer, Wanjing (Amy) Xu

Conference/Workshop

Modeling Variability in Biomass Feedstock Supplies with Limited Data: An Application of Data Clustering

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu, Grant Hauer, Wanjing (Amy) Xu

Conference/Workshop

Modeling Variability in Biomass Feedstock Supplies with Limited Data: An Application of Data Clustering

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu, Grant Hauer, Wanjing (Amy) Xu

Conference/Workshop

Potential Ethanol Biorefinery Sites in Alberta Based on Agricultural Residues

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu, Grant Hauer, Claire Doll

Conference/Workshop

Potential biorefinery sites based on agricultural residues in Alberta: A GIS-based approach with feedstock variability

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anderson, Grant Hauer, Claire Doll, Yanan Zheng

Conference/Workshop

The Potential of Low Grade Canola Feedstock for Biojet Refineries in Alberta: A GIS-Based Analysis

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anderson

Event

The Potential of Low Grade Canola Feedstock for Biojet Refineries in Alberta: A GIS-Based Analysis

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anderson

Event

The development of advanced biofuels: potential impacts on land use and ecosystems

Feng Qiu

Event

Unleasing Canada’s Biomass Energy Potential

Amit Kumar, David Bressler, Marty Luckert

Conference/Workshop

Variability of Biofuel Feedstock from Agricultural Residues in Alberta

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anderson, Grant Hauer, Yu Feng

Conference/Workshop

Your Energy Technology in the Real World: Methods for assessing the economic and system-wide impacts of energy transition

Marty Luckert

Conference/Workshop

A Wheat Straw Feedstock Supply Response Model for Ethanol Production in Canada

Grant Hauer, Curtis McKnight

Scholarly Refereed Journal

A spatiotemporal analysis of forestry residues for west-central Alberta

Jay Anderson, Glen Armstrong, Alex McPhee

Scholarly Refereed Journal

Bioenergy Feedstock Supply from Wheat Straw: A Farm Level Model with Crop Choices, Disease Risks and Soil Trade-offs

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu, Grant Hauer, Curtis McKnight

Scholarly Refereed Journal

Bioenergy Feedstock Supply from Wheat Straw: A Farm Level Model | Energy In A Flash

Curtis McKnight

Interview (Broadcast or Text)

Breaking Down Feedstock Supply

Marty Luckert

Invited/Keynote

Can energy crops compete with agriculture? A real options approach to landowner returns

Marty Luckert, Grant Hauer, Claire Doll

Scholarly Refereed Journal

Co-movement of Prices Between Biofuel Co-products in Canada: Ethanol, Electricity, and Pellets

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu, Grant Hauer, Claire Doll

Scholarly Refereed Journal

Economic Opportunities and Challenges in Biojet Production: A Literature Review and Analysis

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu

Scholarly Refereed Journal

Economic Opportunities and Challenges in Biojet Production: A Literature Review and Analysis

Invited/Keynote

Establishing hybrid poplar plantations in western Canada for biofuel feedstock and carbon offsets: A forest-level financial analysis

Marty Luckert, Jay Anderson, Glen Armstrong

Scholarly Refereed Journal

Facility siting for a forest residue-based biorefinery considering variation of commercial timber harvests

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anderson, Irene Onyango, Glen Armstrong

Scholarly Refereed Journal

Facility siting for a forest residue-based biorefinery considering variation of commercial timber harvests

Irene Onyango

Masters Thesis

Future prices for a Second-Generation Biofuel Industry in Canada: Market Linkages Between Canadian Wheat and US Energy and Agricultural Commodities

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu, Curtis McKnight

Scholarly Refereed Journal

Getting Biojet Off The Ground

Interview (Broadcast or Text)

Growing hybrid poplar in western Canada for use as a biofuel feedstock: A financial analysis of coppice and single-stem management

Marty Luckert, Jay Anderson

Scholarly Refereed Journal

Investment Decisions and Policy Analysis of Biomass Energy

Feng Qiu, Jay Anderson, Grant Hauer

Invited/Keynote

Potential Development of a Second-Generation Ethanol Industry in Alberta: Product Prices, Land Use Change, and Co-production Opportunities

Claire Doll

Masters Thesis

Potential biorefinery sites based on agricultural residues in Alberta: A GIS-based approach with feedstock variability

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu, Jay Anderson, Grant Hauer, Claire Doll, Yanan Zheng

Scholarly Refereed Journal

Price Considerations for a Second-Generation Biofuel Industry in Canada

Curtis McKnight

Invited/Keynote

Price Relationships and Feedstock Supply for a Second-Generation Ethanol Industry in Canada

Curtis McKnight

Masters Thesis

Price Transmission and Impulse Responses between Crude Oil, Jet Fuel, and Diesel: Implications for Emerging Energy Sources

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu

Scholarly Refereed Journal

Prospects for second-generation ethanol in Canada

Marty Luckert

Scholarly Refereed Journal

The price of plant-based air travel: A review of biojet financial analyses

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu

Scholarly Refereed Journal

Volatility Transmission Effects Between Canadian Wheat and US Energy and Agricultural Commodities

Marty Luckert, Feng Qiu, Curtis McKnight

Scholarly Refereed Journal

What ethanol prices would induce growers to switch from agriculture to poplar in Alberta?: A multiple options approach

Marty Luckert, Grant Hauer

Scholarly Refereed Journal